The San Diego Padres will head east to Marlins Park to face the Miami Marlins. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL showdown.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (+120) as the underdog to Miami (-130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over eight runs and -120 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-175) and Marlins -1.5 runs (+155).
The Marlins are only 22-40 SU and 30-31 ATS. They’ve lost 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Padres have gone 29-35 SU this year and are 33-31 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 0.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 5.1 units ATS.
Neither team has been a strong over/under play this season. Miami games have an over/under record of 31-30 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 32-30-2.
Eric Lauer will get the nod for San Diego. Lauer is 2-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 19.29 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are sending lefty Caleb Smith (4-6, 4.03 ERA) to the mound. Smith has 74 strikeouts and 28 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Smith is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.58 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Miami’s offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .260/.332/.458 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is hitting .292/.331/.404 with three home runs, 24 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .297/.373/.418 with three homers, 30 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.02 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.29, along with a WHIP of 1.50.
Padres hitters have slashed .233/.301/.375 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have paced San Diego’s offense. Pirela is slashing .275/.328/.357 with 67 hits, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .285/.371/.465 with 65 hits, seven homers, 28 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 0.5 units and are 8-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against ies.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in six of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Padres have won four of their last five games SU.
Miami has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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