The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Odds
Tampa Bay (+190) is entering this game as the underdog to Boston (-210) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -115 for the Rays +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 87-36 straight up (SU) and 74-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 33.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.5 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Rays are 62-60 SU and have gone 66-55 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 7.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Boston games have had an over/under record of 56-61-5 in 2018. The Rays have been a strong under bet with a total record of 51-67-3.
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow is getting the nod for the visiting Rays. Glasnow (1-2, 3.97 ERA) has recorded 92 punchouts in 68 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox will send lefty David Price (12-6, 3.75 ERA) to the mound. Price has 134 strikeouts and 39 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Price is 1-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 2.10 ERA across four starts against Tampa Bay this year.
Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.56 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 59 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.88.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .257/.330/.443 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .333/.403/.661 with 37 home runs, 105 RBIs and 90 runs scored, while Betts has produced a line of .350/.437/.665 with 27 homers, 64 RBIs, 100 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.84, along with a K-per-9 of 8.20.
Rays hitters have slashed .253/.328/.393 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and left fielder Mallex Smith. Duffy is slashing .294/.353/.373 with four home runs, 32 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Smith is hitting .301/.374/.426 with two homers, 29 RBIs, 48 runs and 26 stolen bases.
The Rays have gained 8.3 units and are 22-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 33.1 units and are 59-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 47 that went under.
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in six of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games SU.
Boston has recorded 27.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
The Rays have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.
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