The Atlanta Braves will play host to the Colorado Rockies at SunTrust Park. This NL showdown begins at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on either ATRM or FSSO.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas has listed Colorado (+120) as the underdog to Atlanta (-130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. The game’s runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +155 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 68-52 straight up (SU) and 63-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.8 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rockies are 65-56 SU and have gone 62-58 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 9.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.4 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 58-55-5 in 2018. Rockies games have gone under 61 times, gone over 53 times and pushed on six occasions.
Kyle Freeland is getting the nod for Colorado. The left-handed Freeland (10-7, 3.02 ERA) has recorded 120 strikeouts in 146 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves will send lefty Sean Newcomb (10-5, 3.40 ERA) to the mound. Newcomb has 118 strikeouts and 61 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Newcomb is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.60, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .312/.361/.547 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the charge for the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is slashing .323/.403/.535 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Markakis is batting .319 with 14 homers, 76 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.12, along with a K-per-9 of 8.85.
The Rockies offense has slashed .253/.320/.427 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .310/.394/.587 with 30 home runs, 84 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Story is hitting .289/.346/.547 with 25 homers, 83 RBIs, 61 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Rockies have gained 7.0 units and are 28-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 0.8 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve cashed the under.
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in only two of Colorado’s last seven outings.
The Rockies have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
Colorado has recorded 18.9 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.2 over its last five.
The Rockies have won five of their last six games SU.
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