The Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will televise this interleague matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Odds
The Rays are 43-42 SU and have gone 49-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 35-52 SU and 46-40 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 43-41-2 so far in 2018. The Rays have been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-47-3.
Right-hander Matt Andriese is the probable starter for Tampa Bay. Andriese is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins will put the ball in the right hand of Jose Urena (2-9, 4.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who’s got 75 strikeouts and 21 walks this season. Urena has yet to face the Rays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .263/.319/.371 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .288/.336/.394 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .284/.359/.403 with five homers, 41 RBIs and 48 runs.
For the visitors, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.43, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 8.09.
Rays hitters have slashed .251/.324/.384 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos continue to lead Tampa Bay’s offense. Duffy is hitting .315/.362/.420 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Ramos (.291/.340/.468) has produced 12 homers, 45 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Rays have gained 1.1 units and are 31-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.0 units and are 30-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 29 that went under the total.
Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just one of Tampa Bay’s last seven outings.
The Rays have won four of their last five games SU.
Miami has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
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