The Cincinnati Reds will head west to take on their division rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will be televising the matchup.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
St. Louis (-155) is the favorite over Cincinnati (+145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at nine runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Runline odds stand at -150 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +130 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Reds have gone only 41-52 SU this year and are 56-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 8.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 47-44 SU and 45-46 ATS. The team has lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
St. Louis games have a 39-48-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 48-41-4.
Matt Harvey is getting the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Harvey is 4-5 with a 4.80 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against St. Louis this year.
The Cardinals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Carlos Martinez (6-4, 3.05 ERA), who has 83 punchouts and 45 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Martinez is 1-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA across three starts against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.12 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.31, along with a K-per-9 of 8.23.
The Reds offense has slashed .258/.341/.403 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .326/.372/.518 with 15 home runs, 59 RBIs and 58 runs scored. Peraza (.275/.322/.374) has produced five homers, 32 RBIs, 50 runs and 17 steals.
For the home team, St. Louis’ pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.45 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 41 divisional games, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.90.
St. Louis’ hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .249/.330/.376 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ offense has been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .301/.367/.484 with 13 home runs, 55 RBIs and 35 runs scored, and Ozuna’s line sits at .271/.312/.391 with 10 homers, 48 RBIs and 37 runs.
The Reds have lost 7.0 units and are 40-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.8 units and are 34-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 37 that went under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes
Cincinnati has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. St. Louis has 12 XBH over its last five.
Cincinnati fielders have 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for St. Louis over its last 10.
Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.
*****
