The Cal Poly Mustangs (3-4) challenge the Pepperdine Waves (2-5) at Robert A. Mott Gym. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 2, 2017.
Cal Poly opened as a 7.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 143 points.
Pepperdine Waves vs. Cal Poly Mustangs ATS Prediction
The last time the Waves played, they were topped by the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 88-82. Southern Utah’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Pepperdine. The Thunderbirds had a rate of 9.0 (better than their season average of 13.7), while the Waves posted a mark of 18.3. Kameron Edwards was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 10-for-14 shooting.
The Mustangs fell to the Idaho Vandals in their last game, 75-66. Idaho’s 0.345 free throw rate was their largest strength over Cal Poly, who had a rate of 0.233. The Vandals’ mark was above their season average of 0.335. With 10 points and 10 rebounds, Cal Poly’s Luke Meikle had a solid game.
Cal Poly could put on a ball-control clinic in this contest. Dating back to last season, Cal Poly ranks 46th in the NCAA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while Pepperdine has forced the 13th-fewest turnovers (15.6 percent).
Pepperdine comes into the contest with records of 2-5 straight up (SU) and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Waves are involved, as 66.7 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Cal Poly is 3-4 SU and 4-2 ATS. Of the Mustangs’ 6 games with betting action, 3 have finished over the total.
The Waves won the lone game against the Mustangs last season, 77-68. The Waves’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Mustangs. Pepperdine had a rate of 13.5, while Cal Poly posted a mark of 17.6.
Pepperdine Waves at Cal Poly Mustangs Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cal Poly, ATS Winner – Pepperdine, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Cal Poly ranks 52nd in three pointers attempted per game (24.6) while Pepperdine ranks 327th (15.6).
The Mustangs rank 131st in assists allowed per game (12.9) while the Waves rank 314th (17.1).
Cal Poly ranks 113th in blocks per game (3.6) while Pepperdine ranks 237th (2.5).
The Mustangs rank 25th in steals allowed per game (5.0) while the Waves rank 144th (6.1).
Pepperdine ranks 244th in rebounds per game (34.4) while Cal Poly ranks 298th (32.6).
